Wind AlliesTier 1
at IanTCG MRC Regional
decks
4
(14.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
13-5-2
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.4%
avg ELO +5.1 per match
expected value
61.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1384
· median 1392
· range 1232–1520
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1066
Q1 1182
Q3 1399
1520
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.6% | +12.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.8% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +4.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.0% | +7.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.4% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 68.9% | +14.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.4% | +8.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.7% | +10.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 3.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.8% | -13.6 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
