← Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/18

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/18. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Vanitas 1 1.9% 4 75.0% 52.4% 57.7% 51.7% 1106 ↓ low
2 Water Allies 1 1.9% 4 75.0% 50.7% 55.8% 50.4% 1420 ↑ top
3 Fire Crux Hybrid 3 5.6% 10 85.0% 52.2% 54.6% 50.5% 1353 ↑ top
4 Fire Crux Merlin 2 3.7% 6 66.7% 51.1% 53.3% 50.4% 1311
5 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 1.9% 3 33.3% 49.4% 53.3% 50.3% 1353 ↑ top
6 Fire Crux Mage 3 5.6% 10 60.0% 51.1% 52.8% 50.4% 1281
7 Water Neos 2 3.7% 8 62.5% 50.9% 52.6% 50.4% 1374 ↑ top
8 Wind Allies 5 9.3% 19 57.9% 50.4% 51.8% 50.1% 1250
9 Water Beast 1 1.9% 4 62.5% 50.4% 51.0% 49.9% 1470 ↑ top
10 Water Ravishing Mill 4 7.4% 12 45.8% 49.9% 50.3% 50.3% 1341
11 Wind Neos 1 1.9% 4 50.0% 49.7% 50.0% 49.9% 1426 ↑ top
12 Wind Shadowstrike 7 13.0% 24 52.1% 49.5% 49.3% 49.7% 1325
13 Water Luxem Assassin 2 3.7% 6 33.3% 49.2% 49.2% 50.0% 1275
14 Fire Aggro 4 7.4% 11 45.5% 49.5% 48.8% 49.8% 1254
15 Slimes 8 14.8% 22 45.5% 49.3% 48.5% 49.8% 1284
16 Wind Arisanna 1 1.9% 4 50.0% 50.1% 47.0% 49.8% 1328
17 Fire Arcane 1 1.9% 4 25.0% 49.2% 42.2% 49.5% 1153 ↓ low
18 Water Tera Silvie 1 1.9% 3 33.3% 50.0% 42.0% 50.0% 1376 ↑ top
19 Wind Umbra Ranger 1 1.9% 3 0.0% 48.5% 40.0% 49.4% 1212 ↓ low
20 Dawn of Ashes 1 1.9% 2 0.0% 48.3% 40.0% 48.9% 1329
21 Fire Diana 1 1.9% 2 0.0% 48.2% 40.0% 48.9% 1396 ↑ top
22 Fire Slimes 1 1.9% 1 0.0% 48.9% 40.0% 48.9% 1101 ↓ low
23 Wind Ravishing Mill 1 1.9% 2 0.0% 49.6% 40.0% 49.9% 1000 ↓ low
24 Fire Astra Cleric 1 1.9% 2 0.0% 49.4% 33.3% 49.4% 1152 ↓ low