← Grand Library League S2 Finals
Fire Crux HybridTier 2
at Grand Library League S2 Finals
decks
6
(5.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
22
8-14-0
overall winrate
36.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.3%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
48.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1202
· median 1183
· range 1099–1426
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1025
Q1 1184
Q3 1358
1694
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 26.3% | 8 | 4-4-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 19.5% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.0% | +0.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.1% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 46.8% | -2.4 |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 47.3% | -2.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.0 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
