← Grand Library League S2 Finals
SlimesTier 1
at Grand Library League S2 Finals
decks
31
(26.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
123
64-49-10
overall winrate
56.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.9%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
56.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1253
· median 1257
· range 1028–1694
(31 pilots with an ELO rating)
1025
Q1 1184
Q3 1358
1694
13% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
23% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 19.5% | 27 | 16-6-5 | 68.5% | 66.1% | 52.9% | +1.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.2% | 20 | 13-7-0 | 65.0% | 62.5% | 51.4% | +0.5 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.1% | 8 | 4-4-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.1% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 51.2% | +0.6 |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 7 | 2-4-1 | 35.7% | 40.9% | 48.8% | -0.6 |
| Fire Erupting | 3.4% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 47.6% | -1.3 |
| Fire Lorraine | 3.4% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 52.0% | +1.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.5% | 9 | 5-4-0 | 55.6% | 53.8% | 50.6% | +0.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.5% | 10 | 5-4-1 | 55.0% | 53.6% | 51.0% | +0.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.6% | -0.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.4% | -1.2 |
| Water Allies | 1.7% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 50.3% | +0.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.7% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 48.9% | -0.6 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.3 |
| Fire Neos | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.8 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 46.5% | -3.3 |
| Wind Neos | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Wind Slimes | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 31 from this event
The 31 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 25 mirror matches (6 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 5 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Bedivere, Woodland Overseer, Vampiric Slime, Morgan, Soul Guide. Losers more often ran: Baby Blue Slime, Blanche, Sheltering Saint, Hymn of Gaia's Grace.
Bedivere, Woodland Overseer
Winning decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
losing decks 0.0.
Of 25 mirrors: the winner ran more in
7, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 18.
Vampiric Slime
Winning decks ran 1.0
copy on average,
losing decks 0.7.
Of 25 mirrors: the winner ran more in
11, the loser ran more in 5,
both ran the same in 9.
Morgan, Soul Guide
Winning decks ran 0.5
copies on average,
losing decks 0.0.
Of 25 mirrors: the winner ran more in
6, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 19.
Verdant Slime
Winning decks ran 0.7
copies on average,
losing decks 0.4.
Of 25 mirrors: the winner ran more in
9, the loser ran more in 4,
both ran the same in 12.
Twilight Slime
Winning decks ran 0.9
copies on average,
losing decks 0.6.
Of 25 mirrors: the winner ran more in
8, the loser ran more in 4,
both ran the same in 13.
Ordinary Bear
Winning decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
losing decks 0.4.
Of 25 mirrors: the winner ran more in
7, the loser ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 15.
Baby Blue Slime
Losing decks ran 3.2
copies on average,
winning decks 2.2.
Of 25 mirrors: the loser ran more in
13, the winner ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 9.
Blanche, Sheltering Saint
Losing decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 25 mirrors: the loser ran more in
8, the winner ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 14.
Hymn of Gaia's Grace
Losing decks ran 1.1
copies on average,
winning decks 0.7.
Of 25 mirrors: the loser ran more in
10, the winner ran more in 5,
both ran the same in 10.
Slime's Blessing
Losing decks ran 1.5
copies on average,
winning decks 1.5.
Of 25 mirrors: the loser ran more in
10, the winner ran more in 5,
both ran the same in 10.
Ethereal Slime
Losing decks ran 3.9
copies on average,
winning decks 3.7.
Of 25 mirrors: the loser ran more in
6, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 17.
Slime King
Losing decks ran 1.4
copies on average,
winning decks 1.4.
Of 25 mirrors: the loser ran more in
12, the winner ran more in 8,
both ran the same in 5.
Show all 57 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 37 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baby Blue Slime | -0.40 | 3 | 13 | 9 | |
| Bedivere, Woodland Overseer | +0.28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | +0.24 | 11 | 5 | 1 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.20 | 3 | 8 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | -0.20 | 5 | 10 | 4 | |
| Verdant Slime | +0.20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.20 | 5 | 10 | 7 | |
| Ethereal Slime | -0.16 | 2 | 6 | 17 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.16 | 4 | 0 | 21 | |
| Slime King | -0.16 | 8 | 12 | 4 | |
| Slime Eruption | -0.16 | 2 | 6 | 17 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.16 | 8 | 4 | 3 | |
| Ordinary Bear | +0.16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | -0.16 | 5 | 9 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.12 | 10 | 7 | 3 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Paws | -0.12 | 3 | 6 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.12 | 8 | 5 | 8 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |
| Engineered Slime | +0.08 | 7 | 5 | 1 | |
| Tera Sight | -0.08 | 6 | 8 | 8 | |
| Reprogram | -0.08 | 8 | 10 | 5 | |
| Verdant Scepter | -0.08 | 4 | 6 | 15 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.08 | 4 | 6 | 15 | |
| Beastbond Ears | +0.08 | 6 | 4 | 13 | |
| Horn of Beastcalling | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 24 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.04 | 5 | 6 | 14 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.04 | 2 | 1 | 21 | |
| Limitless Slime | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 24 | |
| Covenant of Thorns | +0.04 | 1 | 0 | 24 | |
| Lustrous Slime | -0.04 | 5 | 6 | 14 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.04 | 6 | 5 | 12 | |
| Stonescale Band | +0.04 | 1 | 0 | 24 | |
| Baby Green Slime | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 24 | |
| Baby Red Slime | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 24 | |
| Fast Cure | -0.04 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Mechanical Hare | -0.04 | 8 | 9 | 2 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime Nexus | +0.04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Meadowbloom Dryad | -0.04 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.04 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seeking Shot | +0.04 | 4 | 3 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | +0.00 | 5 | 5 | 0 | |
| Slime Totem | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +0.00 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.00 | 8 | 8 | 6 | |
| Geldus, Terror of Dorumegia | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Young Beastbonder | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Red Slime | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 |