← Grand Library League S2 Finals
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Grand Library League S2 Finals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 26.3% | 7 | 4-2-1 | 64.3% | 59.1% | 51.2% | +0.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 19.5% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.2% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 51.5% | +0.9 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Fire Erupting | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Fire Lorraine | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Water Allies | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Fire Neos | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.5 |
| Wind Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 20 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Armored Valkyrie | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prototype Pistol | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |