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Regionals @ Hobby Lords Dunedin!

2024-11-15 · 124 King Edward Street, South Dunedin, Dunedin 9012, New Zealand · season Mortal Ambition · Standard

25 decks · 60 matches loaded. View: EV ranking · head-to-head matrix

Element distribution
Fire 44% Water 16% Wind 36% Other 4%
Top archetypes
  1. Fire Crux Mage 16.0%
  2. Fire Exia 12.0%
  3. Wind Cats 12.0%
  4. Fire Slimes 8.0%
  5. Water Allies 8.0%
Archetype Breakdown

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

# Archetype Tier Decks Share W-L-D Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Crux Mage
Tier 1 4 9-3-5 67.6% 48.2% 56.3% 49.7% 1407 ↑ top
2 Fire Exia
Tier 2 3 6-6-3 50.0% 52.7% 47.6% 49.8% 1194
3 Wind Cats
Tier 2 3 2-9-1 20.8% 44.0% 41.9% 47.8% 1053 ↓ low
4 Fire Slimes
Tier 1 2 5-2-3 65.0% 53.9% 53.9% 51.5% 1270
5 Water Allies
Tier 1 2 6-1-1 81.2% 54.0% 57.4% 51.4% 1537 ↑ top
6 Water Ravishing Mill
Tier 1 2 5-2-3 65.0% 64.9% 54.3% 56.2% 1268
7 Wind Allies
Tier 1 2 5-3-2 60.0% 63.7% 54.4% 57.3% 1188
8 Wind Exia
Tier 2 2 0-7-0 0.0% 20.7% 37.1% 38.9% 1130 ↓ low
9 Fire Luxem Assassin
Tier 2 1 0-2-0 0.0% 38.5% 40.0% 43.1% 1159 ↓ low
10 Fire Umbra Ranger
Tier 2 1 1-2-0 33.3% 53.0% 46.7% 51.5% 1291
11 Slimes Tier 2 1 0-2-0 0.0% 38.1% 40.0% 42.6% 1166 ↓ low
12 Wind Astra Cleric
Tier 2 1 1-3-1 30.0% 51.0% 42.5% 47.9% 1090 ↓ low
13 Wind Lorraine
Tier 1 1 3-1-1 70.0% 51.4% 55.0% 51.6% 1381 ↑ top
Final Placements · 25 players

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

Placement Player Record Deck
1 Tinycarrots 3-0-2 Wind Allies
2 GlenyBoi 3-0-2 Fire Crux Mage
3 Blivix 3-0-2 Water Allies
4 Seraphize 3-1-1 Water Ravishing Mill
5 Stonehenge 3-1-1 Fire Exia
6 Yamikin 3-1-1 Water Allies
7 elgrundo 3-1-1 Wind Lorraine
8 Calib 2-2-0 Fire Crux Mage
9 Scarlett 3-2-0 Fire Slimes
10 JMills 2-0-3 Fire Crux Mage
11 HolySamurai6121 2-0-3 Fire Slimes
12 111 2-1-2 Fire Crux Mage
13 Knightly 2-1-2 Water Ravishing Mill
14 Gooples 2-3-0 Wind Allies
15 CrimsonKnight 2-3-0 Fire Exia
16 PlungerHead 2-3-0 Wind Cats
17 Mugen 1-3-0 Wind Exia
18 Jank 1-2-2 Fire Exia
19 Toramin 1-3-1 Wind Astra Cleric
20 Saphie 0-3-1 Wind Cats
21 TabascoSauz 1-2-0 Fire Umbra Ranger
22 BadEndingCosplay 1-4-0 Wind Cats
23 Jackosnaco 0-2-0 Slimes
24 Geekorino 0-2-0 Fire Luxem Assassin
25 kayaswife 0-5-0 Wind Exia
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