← Regionals @ Hobby Lords Dunedin!
Fire SlimesTier 1
at Regionals @ Hobby Lords Dunedin!
decks
2
(8.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-2-3
overall winrate
65.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.9%
avg ELO +1.7 per match
expected value
53.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1270
· median 1270
· range 1172–1368
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
957
Q1 1132
Q3 1368
1599
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.0% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.9% | -3.8 |
| Fire Exia | 12.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 12.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.1% | +7.8 |
| Water Allies | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 38.1% | -11.4 |
| Wind Allies | 8.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Wind Exia | 8.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
