← Regionals @ Hobby Lords Dunedin!
Wind CatsTier 2
at Regionals @ Hobby Lords Dunedin!
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.0 |
| Fire Exia | 12.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.3% | -3.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.9% | -7.8 |
| Water Allies | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.9% | -10.6 |
| Wind Allies | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 8.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 71.1% | +20.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Slimes | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -6.0 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Cats decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Adorned Stag | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Paws | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempus Stalker | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime Totem | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Allen, Beast Beckoner | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Silvie, With the Pack | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Silvie, Loved by All | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirited Falconer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bedivere, Woodland Overseer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Silverback | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Blessing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |