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SlimesTier 1
at Regional Championships Box Hill
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 14.8% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 59.7% | +6.2 |
| Wind Allies | 9.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.8% | -6.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.6% | +16.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.4% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 55.4% | +2.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.1% | -2.9 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.6% | -6.1 |
| Wind Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.9% | +5.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.7 |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.8% | +5.6 |
| Fire Silvie | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.2 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Unbroken Mustang, Viridian Protective Trinket, Ethereal Slime. Losers more often ran: Slime's Blessing, Slimeshield, Resolute Stand.
Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 23 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -1.00 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| Ethereal Slime | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Entrancing Filigree | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Engineered Slime | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Paws | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Red Slime | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Kraal, Stonescale Tyrant | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wisdom's Reprise | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bedivere, Woodland Overseer | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 |