Regional Championships Box Hill

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	8	14.8%	17-16-3	51.4%	44.7%	48.2%	45.6%	1322	—
2		Slimes	Tier 1	7	13.0%	15-11-5	56.5%	57.6%	51.3%	53.1%	1289	—
3		Wind Allies	Tier 2	5	9.3%	11-13-1	46.0%	52.5%	49.5%	52.1%	1212	↓ low
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	5	9.3%	16-7-6	65.5%	56.1%	57.3%	53.5%	1431	↑ top
5		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	4	7.4%	11-6-2	63.2%	53.7%	52.8%	50.0%	1283	—
6		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	4	7.4%	11-8-3	56.8%	57.6%	51.1%	52.7%	1368	↑ top
7		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	3	5.6%	5-8-0	38.5%	42.2%	44.9%	45.8%	1249	—
8		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 1	3	5.6%	9-5-2	62.5%	59.6%	52.4%	53.5%	1344	↑ top
9		Wind Exia	Tier 2	2	3.7%	2-7-0	22.2%	34.3%	36.4%	39.7%	1159	↓ low
10		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	2	3.7%	0-9-1	5.0%	26.0%	40.5%	42.9%	1166	↓ low
11		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	1.9%	5-1-0	83.3%	63.4%	59.1%	56.1%	1563	↑ top
12		Fire Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	42.7%	44.3%	45.7%	1143	↓ low
13		Fire Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.9%	1-3-1	30.0%	46.3%	43.1%	46.0%	1204	↓ low
14		Fire Dawn of Ashes	Tier 2	1	1.9%	3-2-1	58.3%	57.4%	49.6%	51.0%	1094	↓ low
15		Fire Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.9%	0-3-0	0.0%	36.0%	40.0%	43.5%	1116	↓ low
16		Water Allies	Tier 3	1	1.9%	2-3-1	41.7%	50.9%	42.4%	46.9%	1384	↑ top
17		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	1.9%	3-2-1	58.3%	61.9%	51.8%	55.1%	1266	—
18		Water Tera Mage	Tier 3	1	1.9%	2-3-1	41.7%	43.9%	46.2%	46.4%	1342	↑ top
19		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	46.5%	46.0%	45.5%	1223	↓ low
20		Water Wind Vanitas	Tier 3	1	1.9%	0-3-0	0.0%	36.9%	40.0%	45.5%	1262	—
21		Wind Ravishing Mill	Tier 3	1	1.9%	1-3-0	25.0%	47.4%	44.4%	49.4%	1071	↓ low
22		Wind Vanitas	Tier 2	1	1.9%	3-2-2	57.1%	45.3%	52.7%	49.5%	1232	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Ravishing Mill 8 decks · 14.8%
• Slimes 7 decks · 13.0%
• Wind Allies 5 decks · 9.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 9.3%
• Fire Crux Mage 4 decks · 7.4%
• Wind Astra Cleric 4 decks · 7.4%
• Fire Slimes 3 decks · 5.6%
• Water Penguin Mill 3 decks · 5.6%
• Wind Exia 2 decks · 3.7%
• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 3.7%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Dawn of Ashes 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Silvie 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Wind Vanitas 1 deck · 1.9%
• Wind Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.9%
• Wind Vanitas 1 deck · 1.9%