← AGORA HOBBY AMB Store Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at AGORA HOBBY AMB Store Championship
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 17.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.7% | -4.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.3% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 71.8% | +14.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.8% | +9.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.7% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 39.1% | -8.1 |
| Water Tera Mage | 9.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Wind Allies | 8.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 61.2% | +10.7 |
| Fire Exia | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.9 |
| Fire Jin | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.0 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caliburn of Silencing | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Uncover the Plot | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Luxera's Map | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Under Fire | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Gawain, Chivalrous Thief | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Juggle Knives | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dusklight Communion | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowdancer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |