← AGORA HOBBY AMB Store Championship
Fire SlimesTier 2
at AGORA HOBBY AMB Store Championship
decks
2
(2.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-3-3
overall winrate
59.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.1%
avg ELO +3.1 per match
expected value
52.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1323
· median 1323
· range 1284–1362
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1057
Q1 1178
Q3 1392
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 17.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.9% | -6.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +4.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.4% | +4.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 9.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Wind Allies | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.1% | +11.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.0% | -3.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Jin | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
