Regionals Mortal Ambition

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 2	13	20.0%	26-29-2	47.4%	51.2%	48.8%	50.5%	1244	—
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	7	10.8%	24-13-4	63.4%	54.4%	53.3%	50.2%	1334	↑ top
3		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	5	7.7%	14-5-5	68.8%	58.8%	56.9%	55.0%	1339	↑ top
4		Fire Exia	Tier 2	4	6.2%	6-11-7	39.6%	40.5%	43.1%	44.1%	1251	—
5		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	3	4.6%	9-8-1	52.8%	55.2%	43.7%	46.0%	1220	—
6		Wind Allies	Tier 1	3	4.6%	9-3-1	73.1%	60.1%	60.6%	57.2%	1329	↑ top
7		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	3	4.6%	11-5-4	65.0%	61.4%	54.4%	52.7%	1384	↑ top
8		Wind Cats	Tier 2	3	4.6%	5-10-3	36.1%	42.3%	46.0%	47.7%	1073	↓ low
9		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	4.6%	10-4-3	67.6%	61.1%	56.5%	54.8%	1317	↑ top
10		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	2	3.1%	4-6-0	40.0%	38.9%	45.0%	43.6%	1279	—
11		Fire Tera Kongming	Tier 2	2	3.1%	4-7-1	37.5%	43.7%	50.5%	50.9%	1211	—
12		Wind Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	3.1%	4-5-1	45.0%	44.5%	44.8%	45.0%	1238	—
13		Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-4-1	25.0%	40.0%	41.4%	43.9%	1107	↓ low
14		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.5%	3-1-2	66.7%	54.6%	50.2%	49.0%	1479	↑ top
15		Fire Tera Mage	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-4-1	25.0%	35.9%	39.2%	40.1%	1328	↑ top
16		Fire Tera Tamer	Tier 3	1	1.5%	2-4-0	33.3%	45.9%	42.6%	44.5%	1152	↓ low
17		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.5%	2-4-0	33.3%	43.3%	47.1%	48.1%	1145	↓ low
18		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	1.5%	3-3-0	50.0%	44.5%	48.8%	46.2%	1385	↑ top
19		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	1.5%	4-1-1	75.0%	67.4%	58.5%	59.6%	1349	↑ top
20		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	1.5%	2-4-0	33.3%	46.0%	52.0%	54.0%	1203	↓ low
21		Water Crux Merlin	Tier 3	1	1.5%	2-3-1	41.7%	50.7%	43.1%	45.8%	1006	↓ low
22		Water Neos Tonoris	Tier 2	1	1.5%	2-3-1	41.7%	45.2%	50.1%	50.2%	1189	↓ low
23		Water Tera Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-7-0	12.5%	24.0%	41.9%	41.9%	1135	↓ low
24		Wind Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.5%	2-4-0	33.3%	52.4%	43.1%	47.7%	1192	↓ low
25		Wind Beast	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-3-2	33.3%	46.7%	42.4%	46.3%	1001	↓ low
26		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.5%	3-3-0	50.0%	49.6%	44.2%	45.3%	1136	↓ low
27		Wind Neos	Tier 3	1	1.5%	2-4-0	33.3%	48.6%	45.4%	49.7%	1059	↓ low
28		Wind Tera Tamer	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-3-2	33.3%	46.7%	42.4%	46.3%	1001	↓ low
29		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	1.5%	4-1-1	75.0%	59.5%	59.0%	54.9%	1402	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 13 decks · 20.0%
• Fire Crux Mage 7 decks · 10.8%
• Water Ravishing Mill 5 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Exia 4 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Slimes 3 decks · 4.6%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 4.6%
• Wind Astra Cleric 3 decks · 4.6%
• Wind Cats 3 decks · 4.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 4.6%
• Fire Arcane 2 decks · 3.1%
• Fire Tera Kongming 2 decks · 3.1%
• Wind Crux Mage 2 decks · 3.1%
• Arcane 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Tera Mage 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Tera Tamer 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Crux Merlin 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Neos Tonoris 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Tera Silvie 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Beast 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Tera Tamer 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.5%