← Regional - Knight & Day Games (Las Vegas, NV)
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Regional - Knight & Day Games (Las Vegas, NV).
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | 4 | 9.8% | 20 | 72.5% | 59.8% | 61.6% | 55.8% | 1465 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 2.4% | 6 | 75.0% | 60.6% | 55.8% | 54.8% | 1528 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 2.4% | 6 | 58.3% | 51.5% | 55.4% | 54.8% | 1296 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Razorgale | 3 | 7.3% | 15 | 63.3% | 59.3% | 55.4% | 55.2% | 1402 | — |
| 5 | Water Allies | 1 | 2.4% | 6 | 75.0% | 62.3% | 54.7% | 54.1% | 1535 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Crux Mage | 2 | 4.9% | 12 | 58.3% | 45.3% | 53.8% | 49.4% | 1368 | — |
| 7 | Fire Razorgale | 1 | 2.4% | 6 | 66.7% | 41.5% | 53.7% | 46.9% | 1736 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Slimes | 7 | 17.1% | 34 | 52.9% | 51.5% | 50.4% | 51.1% | 1440 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Beast | 1 | 2.4% | 6 | 41.7% | 50.9% | 50.0% | 51.2% | 1333 | — |
| 10 | Wind Allies | 2 | 4.9% | 12 | 58.3% | 61.7% | 49.0% | 51.9% | 1296 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 2.4% | 6 | 41.7% | 55.5% | 48.0% | 51.2% | 1218 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Silvie | 2 | 4.9% | 10 | 50.0% | 53.6% | 46.7% | 48.6% | 1380 | — |
| 13 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 7.3% | 11 | 36.4% | 42.9% | 46.3% | 49.7% | 1364 | — |
| 14 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 4.9% | 9 | 44.4% | 44.5% | 45.4% | 45.5% | 1389 | — |
| 15 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 2.4% | 6 | 33.3% | 50.6% | 42.7% | 48.5% | 1099 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Exia | 5 | 12.2% | 11 | 22.7% | 36.1% | 40.6% | 41.8% | 1266 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Diana | 1 | 2.4% | 3 | 0.0% | 30.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | 1120 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Water Penguin Mill | 1 | 2.4% | 5 | 20.0% | 42.0% | 38.7% | 43.1% | 1137 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 2.4% | 5 | 0.0% | 33.0% | 36.9% | 42.9% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Water Arisanna | 1 | 2.4% | 3 | 0.0% | 35.0% | 34.8% | 39.1% | 1386 | — |