← Yeti Gaming Online Regional 12/1/2024 10 AM Start Time
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Online Regional 12/1/2024 10 AM Start Time
decks
6
(4.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
32
16-14-2
overall winrate
53.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.1%
avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
50.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1353
· median 1381
· range 1179–1477
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1248
Q3 1424
1750
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
17% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 13.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.2% | -2.9 |
| Wind Allies | 13.0% | 7 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 55.1% | +2.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.3% | -4.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.8% | -2.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.1% | -2.2 |
| Water Allies | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.1% | -7.6 |
| Fire Exia | 4.1% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 59.7% | +7.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.3% | -2.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Triskit | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
