← Yeti Gaming Online Regional 12/1/2024 10 AM Start Time

Wind RazorgaleTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Online Regional 12/1/2024 10 AM Start Time

decks
10 (8.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
51 24-17-10
overall winrate
56.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.3% avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
54.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1359 · median 1338 · range 1185–1593 (10 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1248 Q3 1424 1750
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 13.8% 8 5-0-3 81.2% 70.8% 59.6% +4.6
Wind Allies 13.0% 13 3-8-2 30.8% 35.3% 42.8% -3.0
Water Ravishing Mill 11.4% 6 2-3-1 41.7% 45.0% 46.1% -2.1
Wind Shadowstrike 7.3% 4 1-2-1 37.5% 43.8% 48.1% -1.2
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.7% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 55.3% +3.9
Water Allies 5.7% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 56.9% +6.7
Fire Crux Mage 4.9% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 54.7% +4.5
Fire Aggro 4.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 55.7% +5.5
Fire Exia 4.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.2% +5.2
Fire Slimes 4.1% 0
Water Crux Mage 2.4% 0
Water Penguin Mill 2.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.5% -5.6
Wind Astra Cleric 2.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 54.4% +4.3
Wind Crux Mage 1.6% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 51.4% +1.3
Fire Arcane 0.8% 0
Fire Tera Kongming 0.8% 0
Fire Tera Tamer 0.8% 0
Water Exia 0.8% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 0.8% 0
Water Silvie 0.8% 0
Water Tera Kongming 0.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 57.9% +7.6
Water Umbra Ranger 0.8% 0
Wind Cats 0.8% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.7% -10.1
Wind Silvie 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.4% -9.0
Wind Slimes 0.8% 0
Wind Triskit 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.7% -10.1
Wind Umbra Tristan 0.8% 0
Decklists · 10 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 18 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Unbroken Mustang +1.00 1 0 0
Diablerie -1.00 0 1 0
Fire Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Forest Cake +1.00 1 0 0
Life Essence Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Scavenging Raccoon +1.00 1 0 0
Bagua of Cardinal Fate +1.00 1 0 0
Ardent Cloudstriker +1.00 1 0 0
Dematerialize -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Escape the Wreckage -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Crimson Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/14831/archetypes/Wind Razorgale