← Yeti Gaming Online Regional 12/1/2024 10 AM Start Time

SlimesTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Online Regional 12/1/2024 10 AM Start Time

decks
17 (13.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
77 38-30-9
overall winrate
55.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.7% avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
50.4% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1336 · median 1340 · range 1047–1652 (17 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1248 Q3 1424 1750
24% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 29% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 13.0% 12 4-7-1 37.5% 40.6% 45.6% -1.9
Water Ravishing Mill 11.4% 11 8-2-1 77.3% 70.0% 57.6% +3.3
Wind Razorgale 8.1% 8 0-5-3 18.8% 29.2% 40.4% -4.6
Wind Shadowstrike 7.3% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 42.8% -4.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.7% 6 4-2-0 66.7% 60.0% 54.7% +2.5
Water Allies 5.7% 4 1-1-2 50.0% 50.0% 48.2% -1.1
Fire Crux Mage 4.9% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 53.8% +2.9
Fire Aggro 4.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.2% +3.5
Fire Exia 4.1% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 46.8% -3.1
Fire Slimes 4.1% 4 3-1-0 75.0% 62.5% 54.2% +2.7
Water Crux Mage 2.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.0% -3.2
Water Penguin Mill 2.4% 5 3-2-0 60.0% 55.6% 54.1% +2.4
Wind Astra Cleric 2.4% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.0% +1.6
Wind Crux Mage 1.6% 0
Fire Arcane 0.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 56.1% +5.9
Fire Tera Kongming 0.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 58.3% +8.0
Fire Tera Tamer 0.8% 0
Water Exia 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.4% -5.8
Water Luxem Assassin 0.8% 0
Water Silvie 0.8% 0
Water Tera Kongming 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.7% -6.9
Water Umbra Ranger 0.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.4% +0.4
Wind Cats 0.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 54.3% +4.2
Wind Luxem Assassin 0.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.6% +8.9
Wind Silvie 0.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.6% -0.4
Wind Slimes 0.8% 0
Wind Triskit 0.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.6% +8.9
Wind Umbra Tristan 0.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.6% +5.7
Decklists · 17 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 5 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 5 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Slime King, Kind Beastcaller, Nascent Blast. Losers more often ran: Slime's Blessing, Verdant Slime, Hymn of Gaia's Grace.

Played more by winners
Slime King
Winning decks ran 1.2 copies on average, losing decks 0.2.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Kind Beastcaller
Winning decks ran 2.0 copies on average, losing decks 0.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 2.
Nascent Blast
Winning decks ran 1.6 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 2.
Nullifying Mirror
Winning decks ran 0.8 copies on average, losing decks 0.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Reprogram
Winning decks ran 1.2 copies on average, losing decks 0.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Played more by losers
Slime's Blessing
Losing decks ran 2.0 copies on average, winning decks 0.8.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 2.
Verdant Slime
Losing decks ran 1.2 copies on average, winning decks 0.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 2.
Hymn of Gaia's Grace
Losing decks ran 1.2 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 2.
Lustrous Slime
Losing decks ran 3.8 copies on average, winning decks 3.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Scavenging Raccoon
Losing decks ran 2.2 copies on average, winning decks 2.2.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Bestial Frenzy
Losing decks ran 0.8 copies on average, winning decks 0.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 15 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Slime King +0.60 4 1 0
Kind Beastcaller +0.60 3 0 0
Slime's Blessing -0.60 0 3 2
Nascent Blast +0.60 3 0 0
Verdant Slime -0.60 0 3 0
Hymn of Gaia's Grace -0.60 0 3 0
Slime Eruption -0.40 0 2 3
Nullifying Mirror +0.40 3 1 1
Twilight Slime -0.40 0 2 0
Blissful Calling +0.20 1 0 4
Mystic Purifier +0.20 1 0 0
Slimeshield -0.20 0 1 4
Gather Slimes +0.20 1 0 4
Lustrous Slime -0.20 1 2 2
Scavenging Raccoon -0.20 1 2 2
Gaia's Songbird -0.20 0 1 4
Safeguard Amulet +0.20 1 0 0
Baby Gray Slime +0.20 1 0 4
Nullifying Lantern +0.20 1 0 3
Bestial Frenzy -0.20 1 2 0
Reprogram +0.20 2 1 0
Entrancing Filigree -0.20 0 1 0
Vampiric Slime -0.20 0 1 0
Alkahest -0.20 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -0.20 0 1 0
Engineered Slime -0.20 0 1 0
Resolute Stand +0.00 2 2 1

JSON: /api/events/14831/archetypes/Slimes