← Yeti Gaming Online Regional 12/1/2024 10 AM Start Time
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Online Regional 12/1/2024 10 AM Start Time
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 13.8% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 57.2% | +4.6 |
| Wind Allies | 13.0% | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 48.5% | -0.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.4% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 43.3% | -5.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.1% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 51.9% | +1.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.7% | 5 | 0-4-1 | 10.0% | 27.8% | 39.6% | -6.0 |
| Water Allies | 5.7% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 48.4% | -0.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.2% | +2.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.1% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 58.5% | +5.5 |
| Fire Exia | 4.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.7% | -1.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.4 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.2% | -7.4 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Water Exia | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
| Water Silvie | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.3 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Wind Silvie | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Triskit | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.5 |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 15 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 15 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Extortion Scheme | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Imperial Spy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |