SlimesTier 1
at Grand Archive Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.1% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.7% | +3.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.9% | -2.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.5% | +2.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Wind Allies | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.8% | +5.0 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 3.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.0% | -8.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.2 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 19 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime King | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Academy Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |