Wind RazorgaleTier 2
at Grand Archive Regionals
decks
2
(6.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
4-5-3
overall winrate
45.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1306
· median 1306
· range 1167–1446
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
972
Q1 1223
Q3 1446
1702
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.2% | -5.0 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.1% | +5.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.7 |
| Wind Allies | 6.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.8 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.3% | +21.3 |
| Wind Cats | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 3.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -2.4 |
