Wind Tera SilvieTier 2
at Grand Archive Regionals
decks
1
(3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-4-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.9%
avg ELO -4.9 per match
expected value
45.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1074
· median 1074
· range 1074–1074
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
972
Q1 1223
Q3 1446
1702
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.2% | -12.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Tera Silvie decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
