← HP Wolves Den Store Championship! (AMB Season)
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at HP Wolves Den Store Championship! (AMB Season).
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 60.0% | 48.6% | 55.0% | 52.2% | 1419 | — |
| 2 | Water Umbra Diana | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 70.0% | 63.6% | 54.4% | 55.1% | 1446 | — |
| 3 | Slimes | 7 | 25.0% | 28 | 57.1% | 53.7% | 54.3% | 52.8% | 1394 | — |
| 4 | Water Penguin Mill | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 60.0% | 43.2% | 53.8% | 49.1% | 1642 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Allies | 3 | 10.7% | 15 | 53.3% | 51.6% | 52.4% | 52.3% | 1331 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 60.0% | 56.4% | 52.1% | 52.9% | 1496 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 7.1% | 10 | 70.0% | 62.1% | 51.6% | 51.3% | 1596 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 7.1% | 10 | 45.0% | 46.7% | 51.5% | 51.4% | 1360 | — |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 2 | 7.1% | 10 | 55.0% | 57.7% | 50.7% | 52.7% | 1429 | — |
| 10 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 30.0% | 46.4% | 44.7% | 47.9% | 1427 | — |
| 11 | Fire Exia | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 20.0% | 31.0% | 41.3% | 42.0% | 1365 | — |
| 12 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 10.7% | 8 | 37.5% | 43.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | 1360 | — |
| 13 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 3.6% | 3 | 0.0% | 39.8% | 40.0% | 45.7% | 1186 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 2 | 7.1% | 4 | 0.0% | 33.7% | 35.3% | 38.4% | 1198 | ↓ low |