← HVN Regional - CM Dunedin

Wind Astra ClericTier 1

at HVN Regional - CM Dunedin

decks
3 (8.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17 9-6-2
overall winrate
58.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.4% avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
50.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1305 · median 1321 · range 1226–1368 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1022 Q1 1189 Q3 1399 1558
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 14.3% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 43.8% -4.6
Wind Allies 11.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.8% -19.6
Fire Arcane 8.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.1% +3.4
Fire Suzaku 8.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.6% +16.9
Wind Razorgale 8.6% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 53.2% +5.1
Wind Shadowstrike 8.6% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 46.9% -3.0
Water Fractal 5.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.9% -9.7
Wind Luxem Assassin 5.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.6% -15.0
Fire Crux Mage 2.9% 0
Fire Exia 2.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.4% +15.1
Fire Firebloom Burn 2.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.9% -17.8
Water Allies 2.9% 0
Water Genbu 2.9% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 58.1% +7.8
Water Overlord 2.9% 0
Water Triskit 2.9% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 58.1% +7.8
Wind Luxem Zander 2.9% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 2.9% 0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 18 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Fragmented Spirit of Wind -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Coronation Ceremony +1.00 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Gentle Respite +1.00 1 0 0
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Fast Cure -1.00 0 1 0
Meteor Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Lunar Conduit +1.00 1 0 0
Swift Recruit -1.00 0 1 0
Fertile Grounds -1.00 0 1 0
Spirit of Serene Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Indolent Leisure -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/21762/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric