HVN Regional - CM Dunedin

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	5	14.3%	13-10-2	56.0%	57.6%	50.8%	51.4%	1251	—
2		Wind Allies	Tier 1	4	11.4%	11-6-2	63.2%	68.0%	53.2%	55.5%	1287	—
3		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	3	8.6%	9-9-0	50.0%	59.6%	48.6%	52.1%	1260	—
4		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	3	8.6%	5-10-0	33.3%	43.4%	47.1%	48.6%	1221	↓ low
5		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	3	8.6%	9-6-2	58.8%	48.4%	50.5%	48.0%	1305	—
6		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	3	8.6%	6-7-2	46.7%	48.1%	47.3%	47.3%	1312	—
7		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	8.6%	11-6-1	63.9%	55.0%	56.2%	53.1%	1417	↑ top
8		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	5.7%	6-2-2	70.0%	49.1%	55.9%	49.5%	1493	↑ top
9		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	5.7%	7-5-0	58.3%	54.2%	49.4%	49.1%	1356	↑ top
10		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-5-0	28.6%	42.8%	43.6%	45.1%	1168	↓ low
11		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.9%	4-3-0	57.1%	48.7%	51.8%	51.2%	1408	↑ top
12		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-4-0	20.0%	37.3%	43.8%	45.0%	1316	—
13		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.9%	4-3-0	57.1%	56.1%	48.0%	48.7%	1151	↓ low
14		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	2.9%	0-6-0	0.0%	27.9%	37.8%	41.4%	1022	↓ low
15		Water Overlord	Tier 2	1	2.9%	4-3-0	57.1%	56.1%	48.0%	48.7%	1151	↓ low
16		Water Triskit	Tier 2	1	2.9%	0-6-0	0.0%	27.9%	37.8%	41.4%	1022	↓ low
17		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	1	2.9%	3-2-1	58.3%	32.1%	51.1%	43.5%	1513	↑ top
18		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	38.1%	45.4%	44.3%	1255	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 5 decks · 14.3%
• Wind Allies 4 decks · 11.4%
• Fire Arcane 3 decks · 8.6%
• Fire Suzaku 3 decks · 8.6%
• Wind Astra Cleric 3 decks · 8.6%
• Wind Razorgale 3 decks · 8.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 8.6%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 5.7%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 5.7%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Overlord 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Triskit 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 2.9%