Wind Luxem AssassinTier 2
at HVN Regional - CM Dunedin
decks
2
(5.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
7-5-0
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.2%
avg ELO +1.8 per match
expected value
49.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1356
· median 1356
· range 1309–1402
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1022
Q1 1189
Q3 1399
1558
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 14.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.1% | -4.4 |
| Wind Allies | 11.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.9% | -13.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 8.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.7% | -9.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.1% | +20.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.3 |
| Water Allies | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Triskit | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.1 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
