Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Illusive Webcam Regionals
decks
2
(3.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-5-1
overall winrate
54.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.1%
avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
50.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1373
· median 1373
· range 1327–1420
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1084
Q1 1295
Q3 1459
1750
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 22.6% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 52.4% | +1.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.8% | -7.0 |
| Wind Allies | 11.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.5 |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
