Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Illusive Webcam Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 22.6% | 9 | 4-3-2 | 55.6% | 53.8% | 52.1% | +1.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.2% | 7 | 2-4-1 | 35.7% | 40.9% | 44.0% | -3.0 |
| Wind Allies | 11.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 55.5% | +4.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.1% | -4.7 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.5 |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -2.5 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.7 |
| Slimes | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.7 |
| Water Genbu | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.0% | +2.9 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 30 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 30 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shadowstrike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Betraying Blade | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Potion of Healing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |