Illusive Webcam Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	12	22.6%	28-20-7	57.3%	51.8%	52.9%	50.8%	1418	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	7	13.2%	22-10-3	67.1%	58.1%	53.9%	51.9%	1384	—
3		Wind Allies	Tier 1	6	11.3%	12-11-3	51.9%	52.2%	48.4%	50.1%	1300	↓ low
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	6	11.3%	12-10-8	53.3%	48.8%	51.9%	49.7%	1424	—
5		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	3	5.7%	7-9-2	44.4%	50.7%	45.6%	49.3%	1347	—
6		Fire Cinderbloom Combo	Tier 2	2	3.8%	5-5-0	50.0%	50.9%	48.1%	49.6%	1458	↑ top
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	3.8%	6-5-1	54.2%	51.1%	50.9%	50.3%	1373	—
8		Water Allies	Tier 2	2	3.8%	1-3-0	25.0%	47.4%	40.9%	47.4%	1317	↓ low
9		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	3.8%	6-5-2	53.8%	51.7%	45.2%	48.0%	1467	↑ top
10		Fire Byakko	Tier 3	1	1.9%	0-2-1	16.7%	40.8%	44.0%	45.8%	1459	↑ top
11		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 3	1	1.9%	0-2-1	16.7%	40.8%	44.0%	45.8%	1459	↑ top
12		Fire Slimes	Tier 3	1	1.9%	1-5-0	16.7%	45.5%	40.7%	47.0%	1316	↓ low
13		Slimes	Tier 3	1	1.9%	0-5-0	0.0%	40.6%	40.0%	46.8%	1142	↓ low
14		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.9%	0-1-0	0.0%	47.7%	40.0%	47.7%	1284	↓ low
15		Water Crux Mage	Tier 3	1	1.9%	0-2-1	16.7%	42.0%	46.7%	47.9%	1280	↓ low
16		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	1.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	46.9%	50.0%	47.8%	1750	↑ top
17		Water Slice & Dice	Tier 3	1	1.9%	0-3-0	0.0%	45.5%	40.0%	48.2%	1084	↓ low
18		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.9%	1-2-0	33.3%	46.0%	45.6%	48.1%	1469	↑ top
19		Wind Byakko	Tier 3	1	1.9%	0-2-0	0.0%	39.8%	40.0%	43.9%	1311	↓ low
20		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	1	1.9%	4-1-1	75.0%	52.3%	53.5%	50.1%	1652	↑ top
21		Wind Ravishing Mill	Tier 3	1	1.9%	2-2-2	50.0%	50.0%	47.7%	49.7%	1331	—
22		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 3	1	1.9%	1-3-0	25.0%	44.3%	45.5%	48.0%	1295	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 12 decks · 22.6%
• Fire Aggro 7 decks · 13.2%
• Wind Allies 6 decks · 11.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 6 decks · 11.3%
• Fire Suzaku 3 decks · 5.7%
• Fire Cinderbloom Combo 2 decks · 3.8%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 3.8%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 3.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 3.8%
• Fire Byakko 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 1.9%
• Slimes 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Slice & Dice 1 deck · 1.9%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.9%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 1.9%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 1.9%
• Wind Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.9%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 1.9%