← FTG Abyssal Heaven Regional Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at FTG Abyssal Heaven Regional Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Wind Allies | 11.3% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 37.3% | -9.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Water Genbu | 7.5% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 36.7% | -8.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -3.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.8% | +5.1 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.3% | -15.0 |
| Fire Kongming | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +14.0 |
| Water Kongming | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Water Seiryuu | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.5 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tonoris | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Wind Byakko | 1.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.5% | -6.2 |
| Wind Diana | 1.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.7% | -1.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 15 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 15 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veteran Blazebearer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Coiled Fatestone | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flamewing Fowl | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Surging Bolt | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arthur, Young Heir | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Demolition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fated Keepsake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fanatical Devotee | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |