← FTG Abyssal Heaven Regional Championship
Water KongmingTier 3
at FTG Abyssal Heaven Regional Championship
decks
1
(1.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.2%
avg ELO -4.7 per match
expected value
39.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 957
· median 957
· range 957–957
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
957
Q1 1183
Q3 1378
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.5% | -5.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Wind Allies | 11.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +1.3 |
| Water Genbu | 7.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tonoris | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Wind Byakko | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Kongming decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
