FTG Abyssal Heaven Regional Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	9	17.0%	23-19-2	54.5%	51.3%	49.7%	48.7%	1298	—
2		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	6	11.3%	12-15-1	44.6%	48.8%	49.1%	50.0%	1268	—
3		Wind Allies	Tier 1	6	11.3%	19-12-3	60.3%	52.6%	54.7%	50.1%	1313	—
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	4	7.5%	7-13-0	35.0%	48.5%	42.8%	48.5%	1207	↓ low
5		Water Genbu	Tier 1	4	7.5%	12-6-4	63.6%	63.5%	52.8%	54.2%	1344	↑ top
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	5.7%	7-3-5	63.3%	62.2%	55.8%	57.3%	1287	—
7		Water Dawn of Ashes	Tier 2	2	3.8%	7-4-1	62.5%	57.4%	52.1%	51.4%	1297	—
8		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	3.8%	4-6-1	40.9%	53.9%	46.6%	51.0%	1222	↓ low
9		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	3.8%	5-6-1	45.8%	50.1%	48.8%	49.7%	1284	—
10		Fire Cinderbloom Combo	Tier 2	1	1.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	37.3%	52.3%	45.2%	1307	—
11		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 3	1	1.9%	2-3-0	40.0%	36.2%	43.2%	40.9%	1422	↑ top
12		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	1.9%	2-3-1	41.7%	52.1%	50.4%	52.8%	1449	↑ top
13		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	1.9%	4-2-0	66.7%	65.1%	55.5%	58.7%	1139	↓ low
14		Fire Kongming	Tier 2	1	1.9%	4-2-0	66.7%	56.0%	53.0%	51.1%	1401	↑ top
15		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.9%	3-2-0	60.0%	43.9%	54.9%	49.8%	1349	↑ top
16		Fire Slimes	Tier 3	1	1.9%	0-5-0	0.0%	30.8%	37.0%	41.8%	1074	↓ low
17		Fire Tera Diao Chan	Tier 3	1	1.9%	1-5-0	16.7%	33.7%	43.6%	44.4%	1167	↓ low
18		Water Kongming	Tier 3	1	1.9%	1-5-0	16.7%	41.2%	39.0%	46.4%	957	↓ low
19		Water Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	1.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	40.4%	52.5%	48.4%	1343	↑ top
20		Water Tera Mage	Tier 3	1	1.9%	1-4-0	20.0%	35.6%	41.2%	41.5%	1355	↑ top
21		Water Tonoris	Tier 3	1	1.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	46.3%	42.0%	44.9%	1153	↓ low
22		Wind Byakko	Tier 2	1	1.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	34.8%	50.4%	43.6%	1311	—
23		Wind Diana	Tier 2	1	1.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	47.5%	50.8%	49.4%	1445	↑ top
24		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.9%	4-1-1	75.0%	59.3%	52.1%	51.7%	1468	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 9 decks · 17.0%
• Fire Suzaku 6 decks · 11.3%
• Wind Allies 6 decks · 11.3%
• Fire Aggro 4 decks · 7.5%
• Water Genbu 4 decks · 7.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 5.7%
• Water Dawn of Ashes 2 decks · 3.8%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 3.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 3.8%
• Fire Cinderbloom Combo 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Kongming 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 1.9%
• Fire Tera Diao Chan 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Kongming 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Seiryuu 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 1.9%
• Water Tonoris 1 deck · 1.9%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 1.9%
• Wind Diana 1 deck · 1.9%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.9%