Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at AGORA HOBBY REGIONAL
decks
2
(0.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
6-5-2
overall winrate
53.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.7%
avg ELO -1.4 per match
expected value
54.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1508
· median 1508
· range 1431–1584
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
915
Q1 1182
Q3 1368
1685
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 26.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 10.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.7% | +6.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Wind Allies | 6.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.8% | -4.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -21.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
