Wind OverlordTier 2
at AGORA HOBBY REGIONAL
decks
1
(0.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
6-0-2
overall winrate
87.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.6%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
60.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1590
· median 1590
· range 1590–1590
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
915
Q1 1182
Q3 1368
1685
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 26.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 48.9% | -1.1 |
| Water Genbu | 10.8% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 57.2% | +5.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Overlord decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
