Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at AGORA HOBBY REGIONAL
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 26.8% | 29 | 13-11-5 | 53.4% | 53.0% | 48.8% | -0.4 |
| Water Genbu | 10.8% | 13 | 9-4-0 | 69.2% | 64.7% | 59.2% | +3.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.4% | 11 | 4-5-2 | 45.5% | 46.7% | 43.3% | -2.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.0% | 15 | 11-4-0 | 73.3% | 68.4% | 63.2% | +5.3 |
| Wind Allies | 6.6% | 6 | 2-2-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.1% | -2.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.6% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 53.9% | +2.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.8% | 7 | 4-1-2 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 67.5% | +8.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 63.4% | +10.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -17.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 68.8% | +12.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.0% | +15.4 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.6 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.7% | +13.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.2 |
| Wind Overlord | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 15 from this event
The 15 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 6 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 6 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Morgan, Soul Guide, Reclaim, Staggering Strike. Losers more often ran: Viridian Protective Trinket, Stifling Trap, Mastermind Scheme.
Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 15 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.67 | 0 | 4 | 1 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.67 | 4 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | -0.50 | 1 | 4 | 1 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.50 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Cloaked Executioner | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Zephyr | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Winbless Lookout | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Shadowstrike | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Tabula of Salvage | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 |