← 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
Fire ArcaneTier 3
at 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
decks
2
(1.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-5-0
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.9%
avg ELO +1.9 per match
expected value
41.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1309
· median 1309
· range 1095–1523
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1187
Q3 1407
1694
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.8% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 37.2% | -9.6 |
| Water Genbu | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.2 |
| Wind Allies | 9.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -7.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tonoris | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.3 |
