← 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.8% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 37.8% | -6.5 |
| Water Genbu | 10.5% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 51.2% | +0.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 60.0% | +6.4 |
| Wind Allies | 9.0% | 7 | 6-1-0 | 85.7% | 72.7% | 61.2% | +5.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +0.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.8% | +6.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Water Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.9% | -22.6 |
| Water Allies | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Water Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tonoris | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 34 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huaji of Heaven's Rise | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vermilion Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Dispersion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hone by Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Imperial Seal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Potion Infusion: Seal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword Saint's Vow | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rending Flames | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Disenchant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempered Steel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |