← 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.8% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 44.8% | -3.0 |
| Water Genbu | 10.5% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 37.3% | -9.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 10 | 1-7-2 | 20.0% | 28.6% | 34.1% | -7.1 |
| Wind Allies | 9.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.2% | -13.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.0% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 32.4% | -11.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.3 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Slimes | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.1% | -23.8 |
| Water Neos | 1.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.1% | -2.8 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.3 |
| Water Allies | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Water Overlord | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.1% | +24.1 |
| Wind Arisanna | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.7 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tonoris | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.5 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 2 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 2 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleansing Reunion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |