← 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional

Wind Luxem ZanderTier 2

at 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional

decks
4 (3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
23 11-11-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.8% avg ELO -2.3 per match
expected value
54.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1301 · median 1292 · range 1178–1441 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
807 Q1 1187 Q3 1407 1694
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 18.8% 6 4-1-1 75.0% 65.0% 58.5% +4.5
Water Genbu 10.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.1% +11.4
Wind Shadowstrike 10.5% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 56.9% +5.2
Wind Allies 9.0% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 6.0% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 36.3% -13.2
Wind Seiryuu 6.0% 0
Fire Aggro 5.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.9% -16.1
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.8% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 41.2% -6.6
Fire Suzaku 3.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.1% +9.8
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.3% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.3% 0
Fire Arcane 1.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.8% -19.5
Fire Ravishing Mill 1.5% 0
Slimes 1.5% 0
Water Neos 1.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.9% -17.8
Fire Astra Cleric 0.8% 0
Fire Cinderbloom Combo 0.8% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.4% -18.5
Fire Overlord 0.8% 0
Fire Slimes 0.8% 0
Water Allies 0.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.6% +5.8
Water Luxem Zander 0.8% 0
Water Overlord 0.8% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 0.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.1% +11.4
Water Tera Mage 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.5% -16.8
Water Zander 0.8% 0
Wind Arisanna 0.8% 0
Wind Beast 0.8% 0
Wind Byakko 0.8% 0
Wind Exia Jin 0.8% 0
Wind Overlord 0.8% 0
Wind Razorgale 0.8% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 0.8% 0
Wind Tonoris 0.8% 0
Wind Umbra Tristan 0.8% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 0.8% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Luxem Zander decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 17 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 1 0
Unbroken Mustang -1.00 0 1 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Heavenly Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Mystic Purifier -1.00 0 1 0
Winbless Lookout +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny +1.00 1 0 0
Swift Recruit -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0
Poisoned Dagger +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Art of War +1.00 1 0 0
Blackmarket Broker +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/23718/archetypes/Wind Luxem Zander