← 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
Wind AlliesTier 1
at 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
decks
12
(9.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
68
39-22-7
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.1%
avg ELO +2.8 per match
expected value
57.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1296
· median 1316
· range 988–1536
(12 pilots with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1187
Q3 1407
1694
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.8% | 14 | 8-5-1 | 60.7% | 58.3% | 56.1% | +2.5 |
| Water Genbu | 10.5% | 7 | 4-1-2 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 59.0% | +4.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 8 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 57.9% | +3.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.8% | +13.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 8 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 52.0% | +0.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 7 | 1-6-0 | 14.3% | 27.3% | 38.8% | -5.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.8% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 65.4% | +9.8 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 59.7% | +7.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Fire Overlord | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.4 |
| Water Overlord | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.0 |
| Water Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Wind Beast | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tonoris | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.0 |
Decklists · 12 from this event
The 12 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 7 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 7 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Andronika, Eternal Herald, Blanche, Sheltering Saint, Huaji of Heaven's Rise. Losers more often ran: Brisk Windtrotter, Windrider Vanguard, Nullifying Lantern.
Andronika, Eternal Herald
Winning decks ran 2.4
copies on average,
losing decks 1.0.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in
5, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Blanche, Sheltering Saint
Winning decks ran 2.1
copies on average,
losing decks 1.4.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Huaji of Heaven's Rise
Winning decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
losing decks 0.3.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 3.
Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster
Winning decks ran 2.0
copies on average,
losing decks 1.0.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 3.
Windmill Engineer
Winning decks ran 2.7
copies on average,
losing decks 2.3.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 1.
Staggering Strike
Winning decks ran 1.6
copies on average,
losing decks 1.0.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 1.
Brisk Windtrotter
Losing decks ran 1.6
copies on average,
winning decks 0.0.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 3.
Windrider Vanguard
Losing decks ran 1.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.3.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 3.
Nullifying Lantern
Losing decks ran 0.9
copies on average,
winning decks 0.6.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 3.
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa
Losing decks ran 2.1
copies on average,
winning decks 1.6.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 3.
Second Wind
Losing decks ran 1.3
copies on average,
winning decks 1.4.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 1.
Aesan Protector
Losing decks ran 3.9
copies on average,
winning decks 3.7.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 4.
Show all 100 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 80 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +0.71 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -0.57 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | -0.57 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.43 | 4 | 1 | 1 | |
| Huaji of Heaven's Rise | +0.29 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.29 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster | +0.29 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.29 | 4 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.29 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |
| Automated Gardener | +0.29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.29 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Counter Interference | +0.29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.29 | 4 | 2 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | -0.29 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Second Wind | -0.29 | 2 | 4 | 0 | |
| Yuan Shao, Crown General | +0.29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -0.29 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.14 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +0.14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Heavy Swing | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Windspire Crest | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.14 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| Tonoris, Might of Humanity | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -0.14 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |
| Winbless Kiteshield | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.14 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| Poised Rearguard | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +0.14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Raze the Land | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +0.14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.14 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.14 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| Charged Mannequin | -0.14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -0.14 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Song of Nurturing | +0.14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +0.14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | -0.14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | -0.14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Reimagined | +0.14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Clarent, Sword of Peace | +0.14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cell Assembler | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fan of Seven Debts | +0.14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Razorgale Calling | +0.14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +0.14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Usurp the Winds | +0.14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bagua of Cardinal Fate | +0.14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Overlord Mk III | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mercurial Heart | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Acolyte of Cultivation | +0.14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Extortion Scheme | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Zephyr | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |
| Prototype Pistol | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Windpiercer | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| Eternal Directive | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shangxiang, Fierce Princess | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flash Grenade | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Captain Archer | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Concealed Marksman | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seeker's Rifle | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Squallbind Pounce | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blastshot Pump | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diana, Keen Huntress | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Yunzhou Cavalry | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diana, Deadly Duelist | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiled Dash | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Emerald Pistol | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winbless Rangefinder | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |