← 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional

Wind Astra ClericTier 1

at 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional

decks
8 (6.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
50 23-22-5
overall winrate
51.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.4% avg ELO +2.2 per match
expected value
46.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1297 · median 1300 · range 1135–1426 (8 pilots with an ELO rating)
807 Q1 1187 Q3 1407 1694
12% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 12% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 18.8% 11 2-6-3 31.8% 36.7% 36.4% -5.9
Water Genbu 10.5% 6 2-4-0 33.3% 40.0% 48.4% -0.9
Wind Shadowstrike 10.5% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 46.5% -2.2
Wind Allies 9.0% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.9% +0.6
Wind Seiryuu 6.0% 4 3-0-1 87.5% 68.8% 67.6% +11.3
Fire Aggro 5.3% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 61.0% +8.2
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.9% +11.0
Fire Suzaku 3.8% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 3.0% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 63.7% +13.2
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.7% -16.6
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 63.0% +20.8
Fire Arcane 1.5% 0
Fire Ravishing Mill 1.5% 0
Slimes 1.5% 0
Water Neos 1.5% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 37.5% -12.0
Fire Astra Cleric 0.8% 0
Fire Cinderbloom Combo 0.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 76.4% +25.4
Fire Crux Hybrid 0.8% 0
Fire Overlord 0.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 76.4% +25.4
Fire Slimes 0.8% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 33.7% -15.6
Water Allies 0.8% 0
Water Luxem Zander 0.8% 0
Water Overlord 0.8% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 0.8% 0
Water Tera Mage 0.8% 0
Water Zander 0.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.8% +20.5
Wind Arisanna 0.8% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 47.1% -4.6
Wind Beast 0.8% 0
Wind Byakko 0.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 64.0% +13.5
Wind Exia Jin 0.8% 0
Wind Overlord 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.8% -13.0
Wind Razorgale 0.8% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 0.8% 0
Wind Tonoris 0.8% 0
Wind Umbra Tristan 0.8% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 0.8% 0
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Zephyr.

Played more by winners
Zephyr
Winning decks ran 2.3 copies on average, losing decks 2.0.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Played more by losers

No cards correlated with losing.

Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 30 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Disenchant -0.67 0 2 0
Regenerate +0.67 2 0 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +0.33 1 0 2
Coronation Ceremony -0.33 0 1 0
Fast Cure -0.33 0 1 2
Meteor Strike +0.33 1 0 2
Quicksilver Grail -0.33 0 1 0
Fertile Grounds -0.33 0 1 0
Zephyr +0.33 2 1 0
Nascent Barrier -0.33 0 1 2
Three Visits +0.33 1 0 2
Dawn's Reversal +0.33 1 0 0
Gentle Respite +0.33 1 0 0
Staggering Strike +0.00 1 1 0
Astral Seal +0.00 1 1 1
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.00 1 1 0
Scry the Stars +0.00 1 1 0
Tend the Land +0.00 1 1 0
Scry the Skies +0.00 1 1 0
Chalice of Blood +0.00 1 1 1
Morgan, Soul Guide +0.00 1 1 1
Prima Materia +0.00 1 1 1
Scatter Essence +0.00 1 1 1
Horticounter +0.00 1 1 1
Lunar Seer +0.00 1 1 0
Beseech the Winds +0.00 1 1 0
Nurture Crops +0.00 1 1 0
Verdigris Decree +0.00 1 1 0
Lunar Conduit +0.00 1 1 0
Nullifying Mirror +0.00 1 1 0
Potion of Healing +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/23718/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric