HVN Regionals Palmerston North Valkyrie Games

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	9	23.1%	18-13-2	57.6%	46.9%	52.3%	48.7%	1334	↑ top
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	6	15.4%	18-11-1	61.7%	57.2%	52.8%	52.2%	1314	—
3		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	3	7.7%	8-6-2	56.2%	48.4%	48.4%	46.7%	1361	↑ top
4		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	3	7.7%	6-6-4	50.0%	55.4%	49.3%	52.1%	1329	↑ top
5		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	3	7.7%	4-7-1	37.5%	43.5%	49.2%	50.6%	1146	↓ low
6		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	2	5.1%	5-6-1	45.8%	61.3%	52.2%	59.2%	1189	↓ low
7		Water Genbu	Tier 1	2	5.1%	7-4-1	62.5%	51.4%	51.9%	49.5%	1341	↑ top
8		Wind Allies	Tier 2	2	5.1%	4-7-1	37.5%	37.3%	40.8%	41.8%	1302	—
9		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	5.1%	6-6-0	50.0%	48.3%	49.5%	50.7%	1286	—
10		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-3-0	0.0%	35.9%	40.0%	45.3%	1036	↓ low
11		Fire Polkhawk	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-4-0	0.0%	36.7%	40.0%	43.8%	994	↓ low
12		Fire Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-5-0	16.7%	37.1%	35.3%	41.9%	1124	↓ low
13		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	46.6%	52.2%	50.9%	1181	↓ low
14		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	54.7%	44.2%	50.8%	991	↓ low
15		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-2-0	50.0%	52.5%	42.9%	44.8%	1140	↓ low
16		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	72.8%	55.7%	60.6%	1334	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 9 decks · 23.1%
• Fire Aggro 6 decks · 15.4%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 7.7%
• Wind Astra Cleric 3 decks · 7.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 5.1%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 5.1%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 5.1%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 5.1%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Polkhawk 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.6%