JWW/Maindeck HVN Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	5	15.6%	13-8-4	60.0%	52.2%	52.0%	49.6%	1356	↑ top
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	4	12.5%	7-7-4	50.0%	55.9%	49.9%	52.0%	1235	—
3		Fire Exia	Tier 2	3	9.4%	3-5-3	40.9%	54.5%	47.3%	51.2%	1165	↓ low
4		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	6.2%	4-4-2	50.0%	45.5%	48.5%	47.8%	1236	—
5		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	2	6.2%	5-5-0	50.0%	56.9%	49.7%	53.1%	1321	—
6		Wind Allies	Tier 2	2	6.2%	3-4-1	43.8%	52.5%	49.4%	50.6%	1165	↓ low
7		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	6.2%	4-3-1	56.2%	45.6%	48.6%	46.0%	1430	↑ top
8		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	2	6.2%	4-4-2	50.0%	45.8%	52.8%	50.4%	1318	—
9		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	6.2%	6-0-4	80.0%	65.1%	56.6%	54.0%	1377	↑ top
10		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-1-1	70.0%	67.6%	55.0%	57.5%	1273	—
11		Fire Diao Chan	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-4-0	0.0%	33.2%	36.3%	41.5%	1023	↓ low
12		Fire Neos	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	33.0%	47.9%	41.5%	1538	↑ top
13		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	54.7%	47.5%	51.2%	1115	↓ low
14		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-1-3	50.0%	43.2%	48.0%	45.4%	1454	↑ top
15		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	39.4%	48.0%	45.2%	1302	—
16		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-4-0	0.0%	29.7%	40.0%	41.9%	1080	↓ low
17		Wind Silvie	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	47.8%	45.0%	46.3%	1055	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 5 decks · 15.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Exia 3 decks · 9.4%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Diao Chan 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Silvie 1 deck · 3.1%