Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at JWW/Maindeck HVN Regional
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-4-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.8%
avg ELO -1.9 per match
expected value
52.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1318
· median 1318
· range 1233–1404
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1119
Q3 1370
1590
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 9.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.3% | +7.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diao Chan | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.9% | -20.9 |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.1 |
| Wind Silvie | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
