Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at JWW/Maindeck HVN Regional
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-0-4
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
65.1%
avg ELO +6.8 per match
expected value
56.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1377
· median 1377
· range 1340–1415
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1119
Q3 1370
1590
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.7% | +5.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -2.1 |
| Fire Exia | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.1% | +21.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diao Chan | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
