Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at 8/16 DTR Online Regional
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 41.7% | 13 | 7-5-1 | 57.7% | 55.9% | 50.5% | +0.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -3.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 53.1% | +2.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 56.7% | +4.3 |
| Water Fractal | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.8% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 42.1% | -5.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -3.1 |
| Fire Suited | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.9% | +5.7 |
| Water Allies | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 26 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 26 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Art of War | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Uncover the Plot | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Unyielding Wraithguard | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Vanish from Sight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Evercurrent Raider | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Striking Illuminance | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blinding Orb | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Thieving Cut | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Juggle Knives | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Chibi, Battle of Red Cliffs | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |