8/16 DTR Online Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	30	41.7%	85-64-13	56.5%	52.8%	54.3%	51.8%	1363	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	9	12.5%	28-28-4	50.0%	49.9%	50.8%	50.1%	1333	—
3		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	9	12.5%	27-24-4	52.7%	52.4%	48.4%	50.1%	1304	—
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	9	12.5%	17-26-12	41.8%	49.2%	46.4%	49.8%	1341	—
5		Water Fractal	Tier 2	5	6.9%	8-18-2	32.1%	42.8%	41.4%	45.8%	1326	—
6		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	4	5.6%	21-11-2	64.7%	52.2%	58.0%	51.4%	1446	↑ top
7		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	3	4.2%	18-12-1	59.7%	53.2%	54.8%	51.6%	1444	↑ top
8		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	2.8%	7-8-1	46.9%	45.9%	47.3%	47.3%	1373	—
9		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	2.8%	7-7-2	50.0%	47.3%	47.4%	47.3%	1557	↑ top
10		Fire Exia	Tier 2	2	2.8%	7-8-1	46.9%	49.7%	42.6%	47.4%	1385	—
11		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	2.8%	8-10-1	44.7%	44.0%	48.0%	47.0%	1402	↑ top
12		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	2	2.8%	18-2-4	83.3%	59.0%	68.3%	56.0%	1493	↑ top
13		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	2.8%	2-13-3	19.4%	43.0%	32.3%	44.7%	1233	↓ low
14		Wind Allies	Tier 2	2	2.8%	12-9-0	57.1%	53.1%	50.6%	50.4%	1344	—
15		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	2.8%	3-11-1	23.3%	37.4%	37.1%	43.5%	1410	↑ top
16		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	2.8%	6-3-1	65.0%	56.1%	53.9%	51.8%	1419	↑ top
17		Fire Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.4%	0-3-0	0.0%	42.4%	40.0%	46.6%	1187	↓ low
18		Fire Cinderbloom Combo	Tier 2	1	1.4%	4-4-1	50.0%	56.5%	48.4%	51.2%	1135	↓ low
19		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 3	1	1.4%	2-3-0	40.0%	45.0%	46.0%	46.6%	1482	↑ top
20		Fire Genbu	Tier 3	1	1.4%	4-4-2	50.0%	49.5%	43.8%	46.6%	1438	↑ top
21		Fire Suited	Tier 3	1	1.4%	2-7-0	22.2%	45.0%	40.1%	47.3%	1266	↓ low
22		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 3	1	1.4%	3-5-0	37.5%	50.8%	43.5%	49.0%	1205	↓ low
23		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	1.4%	5-5-0	50.0%	54.6%	51.6%	53.6%	1243	↓ low
24		Water Allies	Tier 3	1	1.4%	1-6-1	18.8%	35.9%	42.9%	44.5%	1353	—
25		Water Beast	Tier 3	1	1.4%	0-3-0	0.0%	47.4%	40.0%	49.0%	945	↓ low
26		Water Genbu	Tier 3	1	1.4%	0-2-0	0.0%	43.9%	40.0%	46.3%	1089	↓ low
27		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	1.4%	7-2-0	77.8%	55.7%	63.0%	54.4%	1312	—
28		Water Tera Mage	Tier 3	1	1.4%	0-4-0	0.0%	42.8%	33.9%	45.4%	1053	↓ low
29		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	1	1.4%	6-3-0	66.7%	48.7%	51.2%	47.5%	1441	↑ top
30		Wind Razorgale	Tier 3	1	1.4%	1-4-0	20.0%	46.7%	35.1%	46.4%	1247	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 30 decks · 41.7%
• Fire Aggro 9 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Suzaku 9 decks · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 9 decks · 12.5%
• Water Fractal 5 decks · 6.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 4 decks · 5.6%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 3 decks · 4.2%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Exia 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 2.8%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 2.8%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 2.8%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 2.8%
• Fire Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Cinderbloom Combo 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Genbu 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.4%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Beast 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 1.4%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 1.4%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 1.4%