Fire SuzakuTier 1
at 8/16 DTR Online Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 41.7% | 16 | 8-7-1 | 53.1% | 52.5% | 52.3% | +0.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 42.0% | -6.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 5 | 1-2-2 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 48.4% | -0.9 |
| Water Fractal | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 46.9% | -2.0 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.5% | +3.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.2% | +3.1 |
| Fire Exia | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.8% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 59.1% | +5.8 |
| Wind Allies | 2.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 57.5% | +5.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +8.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.8% | -7.9 |
| Water Allies | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Water Beast | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.5% | -5.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 9 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Flamewreath Call. Losers more often ran: Ignis Deus, Crystallized Destiny, Smoke Out.
Show all 26 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignis Deus | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Blessed Scion | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Embercrypt Burn | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Smoke Out | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Demolition | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Vengeful Paramour | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spark Alight | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Da Qiao, Cinderbinder | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expose Darkness | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blazing Bowman | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Fiery Interference | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Under Fire | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |