Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at 8/16 DTR Online Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 41.7% | 16 | 4-8-4 | 37.5% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -0.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +10.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 5 | 2-1-2 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 51.6% | +0.9 |
| Water Fractal | 6.9% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +0.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 43.3% | -4.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.8% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 47.7% | -1.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.8% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Wind Allies | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.1% | -1.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.9% | +4.7 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.5 |
| Fire Genbu | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Fire Suited | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.6 |
| Water Beast | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Verdigris Decree. Losers more often ran: Zephyr.
Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Zephyr | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Expose Darkness | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Art of War | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Paragon | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dreamy Unicorn | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |