← DTR Regional - Reaper Game Store
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at DTR Regional - Reaper Game Store
decks
3
(4.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
23
13-9-1
overall winrate
58.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.2%
avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
50.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1302
· median 1327
· range 1131–1447
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1046
Q1 1173
Q3 1404
1638
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.3% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -2.2 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.2 |
| Water Allies | 8.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.8% | +5.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Wind Allies | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.5 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -15.0 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.5 |
| Fire Exia | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.7 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Fire Triskit | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.7 |
| Water Ciel | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.6 |
| Water Fractal | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
