← DTR Regional - Reaper Game Store
Fire ExiaTier 3
at DTR Regional - Reaper Game Store
decks
1
(1.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
1-4-2
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.9%
avg ELO -4.6 per match
expected value
44.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1223
· median 1223
· range 1223–1223
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1046
Q1 1173
Q3 1404
1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.7 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 8.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.0 |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Fire Triskit | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ciel | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -2.3 |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
